Modeling the Population Dynamics of The
Zika Vector In the Key West
We have developed a model of mosquito population dynamics in the Key West, Florida. The model uses behavior patterns of the Zika vector, Aedes aegypti, to simulate the distribution of mosquitoes on a spatial environment. We use satellite imagery to identify locations with vegetation and houses which are critical for nuitirion of male and female mosquitoes respectively. Along with stochastically established breeding sites in the environment, we create a spatially constrained geography for the mosquito agents to live upon. In addition we simulate the average temperature fluctuations through the period of a year in the Key West. The spatially and climatically constrained model is then used to estimate the numbers of mosquitoes at different times of the year.
This model has then been used to experiment with
two different vector control strategies: 1) Release of Insects with
Dominant Lethal gene (or RIDL) and 2) release of Wolbachia infected